Unit PROBABILITY AND MATHEMATICAL STATISTICS

Course
Informatics
Study-unit Code
55007206
Curriculum
In all curricula
Teacher
Andrea Capotorti
Teachers
  • Andrea Capotorti
Hours
  • 42 ore - Andrea Capotorti
CFU
6
Course Regulation
Coorte 2024
Offered
2025/26
Learning activities
Base
Area
Formazione matematico-fisica
Academic discipline
MAT/06
Type of study-unit
Obbligatorio (Required)
Type of learning activities
Attività formativa monodisciplinare
Language of instruction
Italian
Contents
Basic notions of descriptive statistic; linear regression, basic probability notions, principal discrete and continuous distributions, parametric estimation, confidence intervals, hypothesis testing.
Coherence principle.
Reference texts
Main references:
Iacus S.M., Masarotto G.: Laboratorio di statistica con R. McGraw-Hill.

R. Scozzafava: Incertezza e Probabilità (Zanichelli).


Alternatively:
S. Ross, Introduction to probability and Statistics for Engineers and
Scientists, Academic Press.
Educational objectives
Knowledge and ability on basic probability, descriptive and inferential statistical notions. Students will be able to face and solve practical and theoretical problems about descriptive and inferential statistic, linear regression and hypothesis tests.
Prerequisites
Basic calculus notions, basic notion of Algebra and combinatorics. Basic computer abilty. To fully understand the subjects are recomended the know what is teached in the courses "Analisi Matematica", " Programmazione procedurale con Laboratorio "
Teaching methods
Theoretical lessons on all the subjects and practical exercises developed also with the specific statistical software R
Other information
For students with Specific Learning Disorders and/or Disabilities please refer to the we page: http://www.unipg.it/disabilita-e-dsa
Learning verification modality
Preliminary test apt to check the knowledge of basic notions.
Those how will pass the preliminary test have to pass exercises in R apt to check ability in solving practical basic statistical problems and oral examination apt to verify the consciuosness and ability in manipulation of the studied notions.

Preliminary test has 10 semi-open questions.
Exercises in R will be 4 or 5 and based on real or simulated data. Each exercise will have a maximum degree (usually between 3 and 10, depending on the complexity required).

To pass to the preliminary test, a degree of at least 18/30 must be taken.

FOR ATTENDING STUDENTS: two partial tests are foreseen with the same overall verification methods relating to the preliminary and the practical test in R, but based only on the first or second part of the course, respectively. The average mark of the two parts will contribute to establishing the final mark.

On request, the exam can be done in English.
Extended program
Descriptive statistics: statistical unitary, frequencies or in classes distributions; graphical representations; mean values: mode, median, arithmetic mean, means “a la Chisini”; means properties; variability indices; quantiles, Boxplots; double empirical distribution: joint, marginal, conditional frequencies, chi-squared dependence index. Linear regression: min-squared estimates; previsions; R2 index.
Principal probability distributions: binomial, geometric, Poisson, uniform, exponential, normal. Distributions of sample statistics: chi-squared and t-student.
Parametric estimation: main estimators and their properties. Interval estimation: general method; specific cases for the mean and variance of normal populations. Hypothesis testing: generic parametric tests and particular cases with normal populations; non parametric tests: binomial, adaptation an independence tests.
Coherence principle.
Obiettivi Agenda 2030 per lo sviluppo sostenibile

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