Unit STATISTICAL METHODS FOR FINANCE

Course
Finance and quantitative methods for economics
Study-unit Code
A000204
Location
PERUGIA
Curriculum
Finanza ed assicurazione
Teacher
Luca Scrucca
Teachers
  • Luca Scrucca
  • Silvia Pandolfi (Codocenza)
Hours
  • 21 ore - Luca Scrucca
  • 21 ore (Codocenza) - Silvia Pandolfi
CFU
6
Course Regulation
Coorte 2020
Offered
2020/21
Learning activities
Caratterizzante
Area
Matematico, statistico, informatico
Academic discipline
SECS-S/01
Type of study-unit
Obbligatorio (Required)
Type of learning activities
Attività formativa monodisciplinare
Language of instruction
English
Contents
Introduction to statistical software R. Statistical inference: method of maximum likelihood estimation. Regression: simple and multiple linear regression model; logistic regression. Analyses and real data case studies.
Reference texts
Weisberg, S. (2014) Applied Linear Regression, 4th edition, Wiley

Ruppert, D. and Matteson, D.S. (2015) Statistics and Data Analysis for Financial Engineering, 2nd ed., Springer

Supplemental material will be provided by the instructor during the course.
Educational objectives
Upon completion of this course the student will be able to apply to real data problems the methods of statistical inference, linear and logistic regression, studied through the use of the software R.
Prerequisites
Fundamentals of statistics (descriptive statistics and statistical inference).
Teaching methods
Lectures and use of statistical software R.
Other information
Attending classes is not mandatory but strongly advised.
Learning verification modality
The exam consists in a written test with open questions about theoretical topics and interpretation of the output from the R software for data analysis.
Extended program
Introduction to the statistical software R.
The method of maximum likelihood: likelihood and log-likelihood function, maximum likelihood estimates (MLEs), Score function and Fisher information, statistical properties of MLEs, numerical computation of MLEs, likelihood ratio test and likelihood-based confidence intervals. Fitting distributions to log-returns by maximum likelihood.
Regression models: simple and multiple linear regression, parameter estimation, least squares method and maximum likelihood method, hypothesis testing, confidence intervals, categorical predictors, analysis of variance, goodness of fit, transformations, model selection methods, diagnostic and residual analysis, multicollinearity. Logistic regression: model specification, parameter interpretation and estimation.
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