Unit STATISTICAL COMPUTING METHODS

Course
Finance and quantitative methods for economics
Study-unit Code
A000208
Location
PERUGIA
Curriculum
Statistical data science for finance and economics
Teacher
Francesco Bartolucci
CFU
12
Course Regulation
Coorte 2023
Offered
2024/25
Type of study-unit
Obbligatorio (Required)
Type of learning activities
Attività formativa integrata

MOD. I STATISTICAL COMPUTING

Code A000209
Location PERUGIA
CFU 6
Teacher Silvia Pandolfi
Teachers
  • Silvia Pandolfi
Hours
  • 42 ore - Silvia Pandolfi
Learning activities Affine/integrativa
Area Attività formative affini o integrative
Academic discipline SECS-S/01
Type of study-unit Obbligatorio (Required)

MOD. II BAYESIAN COMPUTING

Code A000210
Location PERUGIA
CFU 6
Teacher Francesco Bartolucci
Teachers
  • Francesco Bartolucci
Hours
  • 42 ore - Francesco Bartolucci
Learning activities Affine/integrativa
Area Attività formative affini o integrative
Academic discipline SECS-S/01
Type of study-unit Obbligatorio (Required)
Language of instruction English
Contents
The module gives the first notions of Bayesian inference and an illustration of the main algorithms for the application of Bayesian inferential methods for data analysis.
Reference texts
Gelman, A., Carlin, J. B., Stern, H. S., and Rubin, D. B. (2020). Bayesian data analysis. Chapman and Hall/CRC.

Robert, C. (2007). The Bayesian choice: from decision-theoretic foundations to computational implementation. New York: Springer.

Robert, C. and Casella, G. (2010). Introducing Monte Carlo methods with R. New York: Springer.
Educational objectives
Students who successfully complete the module will possess the capability to implement algorithms of Bayesian inference for analysis of dataset of itermediate complexity.
Prerequisites
Basic courses of probability and statistics.
Teaching methods
Four/six hours of lectures including practical exercises on a weekly basis.
Other information
Students will use statistical software R.
Learning verification modality
Written and oral exam.
Extended program
- Review of principles of frequentist inference
- Principles of the Bayesian inferential approach in comparison to the frequentist approach
- Conjugate prior distributions
- Specific cases: Beta-Binomial, Dirichlet-Multinomial, Gamma-Poisson
- The case of Normal-Normal-Inverse Gamma and of linear regression
- Objective and Jeffreys priors
- Prediction, Confidence intervals and Hypothesis testing
- Computation of posterior distribution via deterministic approaches: quadrature method, Laplace approximation, EM algorithm
- Computation of posterior distribution via stochastic approaches: Monte Carlo method, Importance sampling, Metropolis-Hastings algorithm, Gibbs sampler, Reversible Jump algorithm
Obiettivi Agenda 2030 per lo sviluppo sostenibile
Quality education
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